Predicted scoreLean
Army
19.9
Tulane
26.7
Tulane win probability: 68%
Margin (Tulane − Army): 6.8 (80% range -11 to 25)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Army 17 – Tulane 24 (margin error 0.2, total error 5.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.