Predicted scoreConfident
Tulsa
16.8
Army
34.2
Army win probability: 87%
Margin (Army − Tulsa): 17.4 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Tulsa 26 – Army 25 (margin error 18.4, total error 0.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.