2025 Week 16 · Dec 13, 2025, 8:00 PM · M&T Bank Stadium (neutral site)

Army @ Navy

Predicted scoreToss-up

Army

23.4

Navy

24.1

Navy win probability: 52%

Margin (Navy − Army): 0.7 (80% range -18 to 20)

Total: 47.5 (80% range 27 to 70)

Actual: Army 16 – Navy 17 (margin error 0.3, total error 14.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.