Predicted scoreLean
Army
21.2
UTSA
26.8
UTSA win probability: 65%
Margin (UTSA − Army): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Army 27 – UTSA 24 (margin error 8.7, total error 3.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.