Predicted scoreLikely
Air Force
20.6
Army
31.1
Army win probability: 76%
Margin (Army − Air Force): 10.6 (80% range -9 to 30)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:10 PM | 10.6 | 51.7 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:25 PM | 10.6 | 51.7 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:23 PM | 10.6 | 51.7 | 76% |