Air Force

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Wyoming	23.1–31.1	69%
Week 9	vs UConn	26.7–33.4	66%
Week 10	@ Army	29.7–25.4	39%
Week 11	vs San José State	21.9–32.7	75%
Week 12	vs UTEP	16.2–36.7	91%
Week 13	@ New Mexico	34.0–21.9	22%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Duquesne	0–34	—	—
Week 2	vs North Dakota State	38–32	27.4–16.8	4.6
Week 4	@ Nevada	33–36	25.8–28.2	0.6
Week 5	vs Navy	9–14	28.1–28.4	4.7
Week 6	@ Northern Illinois	7–28	22.2–28.2	15.0
Week 7	vs UNLV	31–41	26.5–26.5	10.0