Predicted scoreLean
Air Force
31.1
Wyoming
23.1
Wyoming win probability: 31%
Margin (Wyoming − Air Force): -8.0 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:55 PM | 0.1 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:47 PM | 0.1 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:28 PM | 0.1 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:43 AM | 0.1 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:11 PM | 0.2 | 51.5 | 50% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:03 PM | -0.5 | 51.3 | 49% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:38 PM | -2.7 | 52.0 | 43% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:50 PM | -5.0 | 52.3 | 38% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:59 PM | -5.0 | 52.4 | 38% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:35 AM | -4.6 | 52.4 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:11 PM | -4.6 | 52.4 | 39% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:47 PM | -4.4 | 55.2 | 39% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:41 PM | -6.8 | 51.6 | 33% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:04 PM | -7.6 | 51.5 | 31% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:22:58 PM | -8.0 | 54.3 | 31% |