Air Force
Mountain West
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Georgia State | 14–48 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Utah State | 20–27 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Navy | 14–28 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Wyoming | 35–26 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs New Mexico | 45–40 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Hawai'i | 34–27 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Fresno State | 21–31 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Army | 12–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Colorado State | 46–49 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ San José State | 38–41 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Boise State | 20–27 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs South Alabama | 21–45 | — | — |