Air Force
Mountain West
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Navy | 3–23 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Utah State | 49–45 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Florida Atlantic | 7–31 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ New Mexico | 10–38 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Wyoming | 14–24 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Boise State | 17–24 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs San Diego State | 20–14 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Army | 21–14 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Colorado State | 21–35 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Nevada | 39–41 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs UNLV | 14–48 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Louisville | 28–31 | — | — |