Air Force
Mountain West
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Sam Houston | 3–13 | 18.2–26.1 | 2.1 |
| Week 3 | vs Utah State | 21–39 | 20.2–34.0 | 4.2 |
| Week 4 | @ San José State | 20–45 | 25.1–28.3 | 21.8 |
| Week 5 | vs San Diego State | 10–49 | 21.5–30.4 | 30.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Wyoming | 27–34 | 21.4–33.1 | 4.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Navy | 6–17 | 19.5–28.8 | 1.6 |
| Week 9 | @ Colorado State | 13–30 | 18.3–32.1 | 3.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Army | 23–3 | 15.3–31.6 | 36.4 |
| Week 11 | @ Hawai'i | 27–13 | 22.0–34.6 | 26.6 |
| Week 12 | vs UNLV | 31–27 | 25.1–29.0 | 7.9 |
| Week 13 | @ Boise State | 27–19 | 29.2–25.4 | 4.2 |
| Week 1 | vs James Madison | 21–31 | 25.8–27.6 | 8.1 |