Predicted scoreLikely
Wyoming
21.4
Air Force
33.1
Air Force win probability: 77%
Margin (Air Force − Wyoming): 11.7 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Wyoming 27 – Air Force 34 (margin error 4.7, total error 6.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.