2023 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023, 9:00 PM · Albertsons Stadium
Air Force @ Boise State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Air Force
25.4
Boise State
29.2
Boise State win probability: 60%
Margin (Boise State − Air Force): 3.8 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Air Force 19 – Boise State 27 (margin error 4.2, total error 8.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.