Boise State

Pac-12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Washington State	21.4–29.9	70%
Week 9	vs Texas State	25.0–36.3	75%
Week 10	@ Colorado State	23.7–37.4	80%
Week 11	vs Oregon State	28.2–33.9	63%
Week 12	vs San Diego State	15.5–34.8	90%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Oregon	34–27	35.1–15.6	12.6
Week 2	vs Memphis	20–38	23.9–31.7	10.1
Week 3	vs South Dakota	24–38	—	—
Week 4	@ Western Michigan	7–32	20.3–29.4	15.9
Week 5	vs Utah State	18–37	21.3–31.9	8.4
Week 6	@ Fresno State	31–38	21.9–28.3	0.6