Boise State
Pac-12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Washington | 56–19 | 31.5–22.1 | 27.5 |
| Week 2 | vs UCF | 18–16 | 31.1–28.8 | 0.3 |
| Week 4 | @ San Diego State | 31–34 | 24.1–27.4 | 0.4 |
| Week 5 | @ Memphis | 35–32 | 28.7–26.6 | 1.0 |
| Week 6 | vs San José State | 27–35 | 26.5–32.4 | 2.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Colorado State | 31–30 | 20.7–32.7 | 13.0 |
| Week 9 | vs Wyoming | 7–32 | 25.7–30.7 | 20.0 |
| Week 10 | @ Fresno State | 37–30 | 30.8–26.0 | 2.2 |
| Week 11 | vs New Mexico | 14–42 | 20.8–39.7 | 9.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Utah State | 10–45 | 27.0–32.6 | 29.4 |
| Week 13 | vs Air Force | 19–27 | 25.4–29.2 | 4.2 |
| Week 14 | @ UNLV | 20–44 | 28.0–30.0 | 22.0 |
| Week 1 | vs UCLA | 35–22 | 28.7–28.5 | 12.8 |