Boise State
Pac-12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ South Florida | 34–7 | 24.9–31.4 | 33.5 |
| Week 4 | @ Air Force | 37–49 | 22.7–29.7 | 5.0 |
| Week 5 | vs App State | 14–47 | 20.1–35.9 | 17.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Notre Dame | 28–7 | 38.2–16.2 | 1.1 |
| Week 7 | vs New Mexico | 25–41 | 25.7–32.0 | 9.6 |
| Week 8 | vs UNLV | 31–56 | 26.5–29.4 | 22.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Nevada | 3–24 | 17.3–32.0 | 6.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Fresno State | 30–7 | 18.7–30.3 | 34.6 |
| Week 12 | @ San Diego State | 17–7 | 22.4–24.6 | 12.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Colorado State | 21–49 | 21.3–31.6 | 17.7 |
| Week 14 | @ Utah State | 24–25 | 26.7–28.3 | 0.6 |
| Week 15 | vs UNLV | 21–38 | 26.2–29.5 | 13.7 |
| Week 1 | @ Washington | 38–10 | 27.6–27.9 | 28.3 |