2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:00 AM · Albertsons Stadium

Colorado State @ Boise State

Predicted scoreLikely

Colorado State

21.3

Boise State

31.6

Boise State win probability: 74%

Margin (Boise State − Colorado State): 10.3 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Colorado State 21 – Boise State 49 (margin error 17.7, total error 17.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.