2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Albertsons Stadium
UNLV @ Boise State
Predicted scoreToss-up
UNLV
26.5
Boise State
29.4
Boise State win probability: 57%
Margin (Boise State − UNLV): 2.9 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 32 to 82)
Actual: UNLV 31 – Boise State 56 (margin error 22.1, total error 31.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.