Sam's Scores

UNLV

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts
WeekOpponentPredicted scoreWin prob
Week 1@ Hawai'i27.5–27.550%
Week 2@ North Texas34.5–26.431%
Week 4@ Akron20.4–34.882%
Week 5vs California25.9–31.163%
Week 6vs North Dakota State27.2–32.161%
Week 7@ Air Force27.5–32.963%
Week 9vs Northern Illinois19.5–35.985%
Week 10vs Wyoming20.2–32.278%
Week 11@ New Mexico29.9–29.649%
Week 12@ San José State24.0–33.171%
Week 13vs Nevada20.9–34.380%
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
WeekOpponentActualPredictedMargin error
Week 1vs Memphis27–2128.6–29.67.0