2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:45 PM · DATCU Stadium
UNLV @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
UNLV
26.4
North Texas
34.5
North Texas win probability: 69%
Margin (North Texas − UNLV): 8.1 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 60.8 (80% range 37 to 87)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:24 PM | 8.1 | 60.9 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:29 PM | 8.2 | 60.9 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:37 PM | 8.1 | 60.8 | 69% |