Predicted scoreToss-up
UNLV
27.5
Hawai'i
27.5
Hawai'i win probability: 50%
Margin (Hawai'i − UNLV): 0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:08 PM | 0.1 | 55.0 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:20 PM | -0.0 | 55.0 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:14 PM | 0.0 | 55.0 | 50% |