Hawai'i

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Northern Illinois	25.9–25.4	49%
Week 10	@ UTEP	21.2–27.4	65%
Week 11	vs North Dakota State	23.3–19.2	39%
Week 12	@ Nevada	29.0–22.8	35%
Week 13	vs Sacramento State	12.9–37.1	95%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Stanford	37–27	27.7–21.4	3.7
Week 1	vs UNLV	21–6	27.5–27.6	15.0
Week 2	vs New Mexico State	19–29	21.6–30.7	0.9
Week 4	@ Wyoming	27–10	27.0–23.5	13.6
Week 5	vs San José State	20–16	22.7–26.8	8.0
Week 6	@ Arizona State	30–12	33.5–16.5	1.0
Week 7	vs New Mexico	21–10	34.5–19.3	4.2