2026 Week 11 · Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

North Dakota State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

North Dakota State

27.0

Hawai'i

28.3

Hawai'i win probability: 52%

Margin (Hawai'i − North Dakota State): 1.3 (80% range -21 to 24)

Total: 55.2 (80% range 34 to 77)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.