Hawai'i
Mountain West
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Stanford | 20–23 | 29.5–24.1 | 8.5 |
| Week 1 | @ Arizona | 40–6 | 37.6–19.8 | 16.2 |
| Week 2 | vs Sam Houston | 20–37 | 27.4–28.7 | 15.7 |
| Week 4 | vs Fresno State | 23–21 | 30.1–23.8 | 4.3 |
| Week 5 | @ Air Force | 35–44 | 28.8–27.9 | 9.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Utah State | 26–44 | 29.1–29.3 | 17.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Colorado State | 19–31 | 31.5–23.7 | 19.7 |
| Week 10 | @ San José State | 45–38 | 28.8–23.4 | 1.6 |
| Week 11 | vs San Diego State | 6–38 | 25.7–24.6 | 33.1 |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 38–10 | 32.2–24.4 | 20.2 |
| Week 14 | vs Wyoming | 7–27 | 20.5–28.4 | 12.1 |
| Week 1 | vs California | 31–35 | 30.4–22.7 | 11.7 |