Hawai'i
Mountain West
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ California | 51–31 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Michigan | 63–3 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Arizona | 47–28 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Nevada | 17–38 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ San José State | 17–34 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs UNLV | 41–38 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Air Force | 27–34 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs New Mexico | 28–21 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ San Diego State | 55–0 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Boise State | 52–16 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Fresno State | 13–14 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Massachusetts | 40–46 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Middle Tennessee | 35–52 | — | — |