Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
20.5
Hawai'i
28.4
Hawai'i win probability: 69%
Margin (Hawai'i − Wyoming): 7.9 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Wyoming 7 – Hawai'i 27 (margin error 12.1, total error 15.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.