2025 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2025, 2:30 AM · CEFCU Stadium
Hawai'i @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Hawai'i
23.4
San José State
28.8
San José State win probability: 63%
Margin (San José State − Hawai'i): 5.4 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Hawai'i 38 – San José State 45 (margin error 1.6, total error 30.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.