San José State
Mountain West
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Eastern Michigan | 29.7–25.7 | 40% |
| Week 3 | vs Fresno State | 27.2–21.6 | 36% |
| Week 5 | @ Hawai'i | 30.3–21.3 | 29% |
| Week 6 | vs Wyoming | 22.6–24.6 | 55% |
| Week 7 | @ UTEP | 22.9–24.3 | 54% |
| Week 8 | @ Nevada | 25.5–24.3 | 47% |
| Week 9 | vs New Mexico | 30.3–23.5 | 33% |
| Week 10 | vs Northern Illinois | 22.7–27.9 | 63% |
| Week 11 | @ Air Force | 30.7–26.7 | 40% |
| Week 12 | vs UNLV | 33.1–24.0 | 29% |
| Week 13 | vs North Dakota State | 30.7–24.1 | 36% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ USC | 42–26 | 39.9–13.2 | 10.7 |