San José State
Mountain West
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Central Michigan | 16–14 | 22.6–30.1 | 9.5 |
| Week 2 | @ Texas | 38–7 | 42.1–11.7 | 0.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Stanford | 30–29 | 23.6–23.1 | 0.5 |
| Week 6 | vs New Mexico | 28–35 | 29.5–26.6 | 9.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Wyoming | 35–28 | 24.3–24.8 | 7.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Utah State | 30–25 | 31.0–27.1 | 1.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Hawai'i | 38–45 | 23.4–28.8 | 1.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Air Force | 26–16 | 28.1–32.1 | 14.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Nevada | 55–10 | 22.1–28.6 | 51.5 |
| Week 13 | @ San Diego State | 25–3 | 28.7–21.2 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | vs Fresno State | 41–14 | 24.7–23.2 | 25.5 |