San José State

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Nevada	26.7–22.5	39%
Week 9	vs New Mexico	33.0–17.1	15%
Week 10	vs Northern Illinois	20.9–28.5	69%
Week 11	@ Air Force	32.7–21.9	25%
Week 12	vs UNLV	27.6–21.8	35%
Week 13	vs North Dakota State	23.5–17.5	34%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ USC	42–26	39.9–13.2	10.7
Week 1	@ Eastern Michigan	21–27	29.6–25.7	9.9
Week 2	vs Cal Poly	20–30	—	—
Week 3	vs Fresno State	26–10	25.2–23.7	14.5
Week 5	@ Hawai'i	16–20	26.8–22.7	8.0
Week 6	vs Wyoming	16–13	19.8–25.7	8.9
Week 7	@ UTEP	11–24	18.1–25.8	5.3