2026 Week 12 · Nov 22, 2026, 1:00 AM · CEFCU Stadium
UNLV @ San José State
Predicted scoreLikely
UNLV
33.1
San José State
24.0
San José State win probability: 29%
Margin (San José State − UNLV): -9.0 (80% range -30 to 11)
Total: 57.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:52 PM | -9.0 | 57.1 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:57 PM | -9.0 | 57.1 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:56 PM | -9.0 | 57.1 | 29% |