2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · CEFCU Stadium
Northern Illinois @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Northern Illinois
22.7
San José State
27.9
San José State win probability: 63%
Margin (San José State − Northern Illinois): 5.2 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:20 PM | 5.2 | 50.6 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:22 PM | 5.2 | 50.7 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:57 PM | 5.2 | 50.6 | 63% |