San José State
Mountain West
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ USC | 56–28 | 38.8–18.7 | 7.9 |
| Week 1 | vs Oregon State | 42–17 | 30.4–17.8 | 12.4 |
| Week 3 | @ Toledo | 21–17 | 31.3–28.6 | 1.2 |
| Week 4 | vs Air Force | 45–20 | 28.3–25.1 | 21.8 |
| Week 6 | @ Boise State | 35–27 | 32.4–26.5 | 2.1 |
| Week 7 | @ New Mexico | 24–52 | 24.2–33.8 | 18.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Utah State | 21–42 | 28.2–33.0 | 16.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Hawai'i | 0–35 | 26.3–35.1 | 26.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Fresno State | 18–42 | 30.8–27.4 | 27.4 |
| Week 12 | vs San Diego State | 13–24 | 22.0–31.6 | 1.5 |
| Week 13 | @ UNLV | 31–37 | 30.3–28.3 | 8.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Coastal Carolina | 24–14 | 26.7–29.3 | 12.6 |