2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 10:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)

San José State @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreLikely

San José State

33.8

New Mexico

24.2

New Mexico win probability: 28%

Margin (New Mexico − San José State): -9.6 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: San José State 52 – New Mexico 24 (margin error 18.4, total error 18.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.