2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 10:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)
San José State @ New Mexico
Predicted scoreLikely
San José State
33.8
New Mexico
24.2
New Mexico win probability: 28%
Margin (New Mexico − San José State): -9.6 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: San José State 52 – New Mexico 24 (margin error 18.4, total error 18.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.