New Mexico

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs North Dakota State	15.9–27.2	78%
Week 9	@ San José State	17.1–33.0	85%
Week 10	@ Nevada	19.2–31.6	79%
Week 11	vs UNLV	20.4–31.4	76%
Week 12	@ Wyoming	16.5–34.2	87%
Week 13	vs Air Force	21.9–34.0	78%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Central Michigan	7–38	21.0–33.6	18.4
Week 2	vs Mercyhurst	7–70	—	—
Week 3	@ Oklahoma	14–6	32.7–17.4	7.3
Week 4	@ New Mexico State	18–42	20.8–33.3	11.5
Week 5	vs UTEP	7–61	10.8–37.7	27.1
Week 7	@ Hawai'i	10–21	19.3–34.5	4.2