2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · University Stadium (NM)

North Dakota State @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreToss-up

North Dakota State

26.8

New Mexico

30.2

New Mexico win probability: 57%

Margin (New Mexico − North Dakota State): 3.4 (80% range -20 to 27)

Total: 57.0 (80% range 36 to 79)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.