2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 9:30 PM · University Stadium (NM)
Air Force @ New Mexico
Predicted scoreLikely
Air Force
24.5
New Mexico
33.8
New Mexico win probability: 72%
Margin (New Mexico − Air Force): 9.3 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 35 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:05 PM | 9.2 | 58.3 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:14 PM | 9.2 | 58.3 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:45 PM | 9.3 | 58.3 | 72% |