2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · CEFCU Stadium
New Mexico @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
New Mexico
30.3
San José State
23.5
San José State win probability: 33%
Margin (San José State − New Mexico): -6.9 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:05 PM | -6.8 | 53.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:03 PM | -6.8 | 53.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:19 PM | -6.9 | 53.8 | 33% |