New Mexico
Mountain West
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Michigan | 34–17 | 41.3–13.2 | 11.1 |
| Week 3 | @ UCLA | 10–35 | 34.8–24.6 | 35.2 |
| Week 5 | vs New Mexico State | 20–38 | 21.8–38.9 | 0.8 |
| Week 6 | @ San José State | 35–28 | 26.6–29.5 | 9.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Boise State | 41–25 | 32.0–25.7 | 9.6 |
| Week 8 | vs Nevada | 22–24 | 21.3–33.5 | 10.2 |
| Week 9 | vs Utah State | 14–33 | 29.7–32.6 | 16.2 |
| Week 10 | @ UNLV | 35–40 | 33.0–29.3 | 8.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Colorado State | 17–20 | 24.5–34.3 | 6.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Air Force | 3–20 | 28.7–32.9 | 12.8 |
| Week 14 | vs San Diego State | 17–23 | 23.3–26.0 | 3.3 |
| Week 1 | @ Minnesota | 20–17 | 38.1–20.0 | 15.2 |