2026 Week 12 · Nov 22, 2026, 2:00 AM · War Memorial Stadium
New Mexico @ Wyoming
Predicted scoreLean
New Mexico
27.7
Wyoming
21.8
Wyoming win probability: 35%
Margin (Wyoming − New Mexico): -5.9 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:57 PM | -6.0 | 49.4 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:57 PM | -6.0 | 49.5 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:58 PM | -5.9 | 49.5 | 35% |