2026 Week 12 · Nov 22, 2026, 2:00 AM · War Memorial Stadium
New Mexico @ Wyoming
Predicted scoreConfident
New Mexico
34.2
Wyoming
16.5
Wyoming win probability: 13%
Margin (Wyoming − New Mexico): -17.7 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.82% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 35 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:57 PM | -6.0 | 49.4 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:57 PM | -6.0 | 49.5 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:58 PM | -5.9 | 49.5 | 35% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:12 AM | -5.9 | 49.5 | 35% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:29 PM | -5.9 | 49.5 | 35% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:17 PM | -5.7 | 48.8 | 35% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:43 PM | -14.1 | 50.5 | 18% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:43 PM | -14.2 | 50.2 | 18% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:42 PM | -13.1 | 50.8 | 20% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:53 PM | -13.8 | 50.2 | 19% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:05 PM | -13.9 | 50.2 | 18% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:21 PM | -16.8 | 51.2 | 14% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:31 PM | -20.8 | 50.4 | 9% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:17 PM | -19.0 | 50.3 | 11% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:31 PM | -17.7 | 50.7 | 13% |