2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 7:30 PM · CEFCU Stadium
Oregon State @ San José State
Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon State
30.4
San José State
17.8
San José State win probability: 21%
Margin (San José State − Oregon State): -12.6 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Oregon State 42 – San José State 17 (margin error 12.4, total error 10.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.87% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.84% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.