2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:00 PM · Allegiant Stadium
San José State @ UNLV
Predicted scoreToss-up
San José State
28.3
UNLV
30.3
UNLV win probability: 55%
Margin (UNLV − San José State): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: San José State 37 – UNLV 31 (margin error 8.0, total error 9.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.