2023 Week 1 · Aug 27, 2023, 12:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

San José State @ USC

Predicted scoreConfident

San José State

18.7

USC

38.8

USC win probability: 89%

Margin (USC − San José State): 20.1 (80% range 0 to 42)

Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: San José State 28 – USC 56 (margin error 7.9, total error 26.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.