USC

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Wisconsin	26.8–26.7	50%
Week 9	vs Ohio State	33.4–24.7	30%
Week 11	@ Indiana	37.7–22.7	18%
Week 12	vs Maryland	20.0–38.1	87%
Week 13	@ UCLA	29.4–27.6	46%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs San José State	26–42	13.2–39.9	10.7
Week 1	vs Fresno State	0–39	16.2–34.9	20.3
Week 2	vs Louisiana	30–49	13.9–39.5	6.6
Week 3	@ Rutgers	35–42	19.3–38.8	12.5
Week 4	vs Oregon	41–27	27.4–30.1	16.7
Week 5	vs Washington	21–25	24.7–29.7	1.0
Week 6	@ Penn State	23–31	31.8–25.3	14.4