Predicted scoreLikely
USC
35.0
UCLA
22.2
UCLA win probability: 21%
Margin (UCLA − USC): -12.9 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:10 PM | -12.9 | 57.2 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:06 PM | -12.9 | 57.2 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:27 PM | -12.9 | 57.2 | 21% |