USC
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Missouri State | 13–73 | 18.8–37.4 | 41.4 |
| Week 2 | vs Georgia Southern | 20–59 | 17.1–40.0 | 16.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Purdue | 17–33 | 20.0–37.9 | 1.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Michigan State | 31–45 | 19.1–35.3 | 2.2 |
| Week 5 | @ Illinois | 34–32 | 28.7–31.7 | 5.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Michigan | 13–31 | 25.4–32.9 | 10.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Notre Dame | 34–24 | 34.9–24.3 | 0.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Nebraska | 17–21 | 26.7–30.5 | 0.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Northwestern | 17–38 | 21.9–33.6 | 9.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Iowa | 21–26 | 24.2–28.3 | 0.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Oregon | 42–27 | 34.3–25.7 | 6.4 |
| Week 14 | vs UCLA | 10–29 | 21.2–37.2 | 3.0 |
| Week 1 | @ TCU | 30–27 | 27.6–29.5 | 4.9 |