2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 2:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Northwestern @ USC

Predicted scoreLikely

Northwestern

21.9

USC

33.6

USC win probability: 76%

Margin (USC − Northwestern): 11.6 (80% range -9 to 32)

Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Northwestern 17 – USC 38 (margin error 9.4, total error 0.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.