2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 11:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

USC @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreToss-up

USC

30.5

Nebraska

26.7

Nebraska win probability: 41%

Margin (Nebraska − USC): -3.8 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: USC 21 – Nebraska 17 (margin error 0.2, total error 19.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.