USC
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs San José State | 28–56 | 18.7–38.8 | 7.9 |
| Week 1 | vs Nevada | 14–66 | 16.5–39.9 | 28.6 |
| Week 2 | vs Stanford | 10–56 | 21.5–37.7 | 29.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Arizona State | 28–42 | 21.5–39.4 | 3.8 |
| Week 5 | @ Colorado | 41–48 | 24.1–40.6 | 9.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Arizona | 41–43 | 26.0–38.7 | 10.7 |
| Week 7 | @ Notre Dame | 48–20 | 34.6–31.4 | 24.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Utah | 34–32 | 26.3–29.3 | 5.0 |
| Week 9 | @ California | 49–50 | 27.7–33.2 | 4.6 |
| Week 10 | vs Washington | 52–42 | 31.8–33.4 | 11.7 |
| Week 11 | @ Oregon | 36–27 | 39.6–28.1 | 2.5 |
| Week 12 | vs UCLA | 38–20 | 26.2–33.3 | 25.1 |
| Week 1 | vs Louisville | 28–42 | 28.9–32.8 | 10.1 |