2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 11:30 PM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Washington @ USC

Predicted scoreToss-up

Washington

31.8

USC

33.4

USC win probability: 54%

Margin (USC − Washington): 1.7 (80% range -20 to 23)

Total: 65.2 (80% range 40 to 93)

Actual: Washington 52 – USC 42 (margin error 11.7, total error 28.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.