2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 11:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
USC @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreToss-up
USC
31.4
Notre Dame
34.6
Notre Dame win probability: 58%
Margin (Notre Dame − USC): 3.2 (80% range -18 to 25)
Total: 66.0 (80% range 41 to 93)
Actual: USC 20 – Notre Dame 48 (margin error 24.8, total error 2.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 38 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.